Igor Arapov on TradingView: 242 Ideas, Over Four Years of Public Analysis and Several Editor's Picks

This is the full public track record of my analysis on TradingView: 242 ideas across several asset classes, published between October 2021 and February 2026, dated and open to anyone. Several have been marked Editor's Pick by the platform's editorial team. This is not a highlights reel but a report of what was actually published, so you can judge the method on facts rather than on words about it.

I posted the first idea, an analysis of Bitcoin through institutional positioning, on 26 October 2021. I have traded since 2013, but it is the public, dated archive that shows the method at work better than any promise: here the market is the only judge. One honest caveat up front: not every idea played out, that happens to no one. The value is not that every call came true, but that they are open and anyone can check them.

In this article we'll cover:

• what a public track record is and why a dated archive is more honest than reviews and screenshots;
• 242 ideas by category: Bitcoin, gold, the dollar and Forex, indices, oil, altcoins and macro reviews;
• how the approach changed: from single-asset volume to a cross-market macro picture;
• the method running through every publication: Wyckoff, volume and Smart Money.

What a public track record is and why it matters

A public track record is an open, dated archive of calls that cannot be rewritten after the fact. In trading that is rare: showing a screenshot of one good trade is easy, while keeping a public feed for years, where both hits and misses are visible, is far more honest. So I do not hide the weak periods. In 2024, for example, only 6 ideas came out: I was systematizing the theory and writing books rather than chasing post count. By year the picture is: 2021 (from October) 51 ideas, 2022 with 59, 2023 with 74 (the peak, including a large educational series), 2024 with 6, 2025 with 50, and early 2026 with 6.

Category 1: Bitcoin market analysis (about 150 ideas)

Bitcoin is the main focus: about 150 ideas covering every phase of the market cycle from late 2021 to early 2026.

The most notable work is the 2022 Bitcoin series. From late 2021 I was flagging signs of an exhausting bull market, and in May 2022 the publication "Bitcoin: crypto winter for the long haul" came out, a bearish analysis marked Editor's Pick by the TradingView editors. The key was multi-asset logic: in one breakdown I tied Bitcoin's fall to gold, a strengthening dollar and signals from the oil market. As the dollar gathers momentum, every dollar-denominated risk asset comes under pressure. The crypto winter that followed confirmed the thesis.

The Bitcoin timeline reads like the method developing. Late 2021: early posts on reading the intent of whales through volume, the series "Bitcoin market review: trying to read whale intent" and "Signs of hidden accumulation". 2022, the most intense period: I tracked Bitcoin from the $46K support zone through the crash to $18K, publishing almost daily. Among the work: "Will Bitcoin be worth 1,300,000?" (market profile), "Bitcoin: analysis of market whale intent" (COT analysis), "Learning to use the Bitcoin bear market" (futures trading). In 2023, after consolidation, I marked an accumulation phase at $26K–$30K, and "Bitcoin to 45k, first target!" (July 2023) flagged the end of Wyckoff re-accumulation with a $45K target, which the market later reached. In 2025–2026 the analysis integrates the Trump administration's policy, Fed decisions and macro conditions alongside the technicals.

Category 2: Educational video series (over 25 ideas)

Here the profile differs from most authors: not scattered tips but a structured course from beginner to advanced. Basics for newcomers: "Trading and investing, where does a beginner start?", "Where trading begins", "A guide to learning trading from scratch", "Technical analysis, an introduction", "Cryptocurrency for beginners".

The core is the full series on the Wyckoff method and volume analysis: "Volume analysis, an introduction" (June 2023), "Volume analysis. Market phases: accumulation and distribution", "Anatomy of trends by Wyckoff", "Market manipulation by Wyckoff, the shakeout", "A Wyckoff trading system" and "Volume analysis methodology" (a live GBP/USD example, 2025). On Price Action: "How to use the pin bar?", "Price Action: how to find an entry", "Building sloped trend channels". On risk and psychology: "Trading psychology. How not to lose your account?", "Sound capital management", "Place your stops correctly", "On drawdowns in trading", "Choosing a trading account". On systems: "A simple trading system for a beginner" (volume divergence, RR at least 3:1), "The main beginner mistakes", "Trading versus investing".

Category 3: Gold market analysis (about 15 ideas)

Gold appears both as a standalone subject and as a macro indicator: "Gold forecast after margin-trader liquidations" (volume at the $2,300 level), "Dollar and gold, who wins?" (the DXY-gold link after Fed decisions), "Gold, signs of recovery" (seller weakness through falling volume in the $3,300 zone), "A rocket in the gold market" (December 2023, before the rally). At bottom these are competing stores of value in times of crisis.

Category 4: The dollar index and Forex (about 25 ideas)

Forex analysis covers the DXY and the major pairs through volume and positioning data. On the dollar: "Dollar prospects after the Fed meeting", "How hard will the dollar fall?", "Trump and tariffs, a technical analysis of the dollar". On pairs: EUR/USD (false breakouts), GBP/USD (positioning via Wyckoff), USD/CHF (compression at resistance), USD/CAD (a reversal on the global timeframe), USD/JPY (a support zone, a volume read of supply and demand).

Category 5: Stock indices (about 15 ideas)

Indices give both trade ideas and correlations with Bitcoin: "Nasdaq, the start of a bear trend?", "Nasdaq leads Bitcoin" (May 2022, a key frame: the index leads crypto), "When Bitcoin sleeps, switch to the Dow" (a cross-market read of Dow Jones volume), plus a series of pre-Fed and post-Fed breakdowns.

Category 6: Oil market analysis (Editor's Pick)

The oil analysis earned another Editor's Pick and shows the use of COT data from CME Group on commodity markets: "What to expect from oil prices?" (January 2022, Editor's Pick) through CME hedger positions, and "Oil market review" (Price Action on oil). Part of the oil work sits inside macro reviews on dollar strength and energy.

Category 7: Altcoin analysis (about 15 ideas)

Altcoins go through the same methodology: "Ether, the start of a bull trend" (2025), "Ether, first target around $900" (no Smart Money demand at $2,000), "Ripple, will there be a rocket?". Separately, educational risk breakdowns: "SHIB as a classic money game" (pump-and-dump mechanics), "The Doge crypto pyramid" and "The PEPE coin" with a direct warning about fraud risk.

Category 8: Multi-asset macro reviews (about 20 ideas)

Regular comprehensive reviews tying several asset classes into one picture: "Markets after the Fed" (Bitcoin, gold, DXY, EUR, GBP, Nasdaq, S&P 500 in one session), "Before the Fed meeting, a review of key levels" with a risk read, "The ruble crash, how to save capital?" (trading as a hedging tool), plus the weekly Sunday-review series of 2023 by the Wyckoff methodology.

How the approach changed: 2021–2026

Read the 242 publications in order and a trajectory shows. 2021 is pure single-asset volume analysis: Bitcoin through volume at specific levels, a concentrated vocabulary of supply, demand and volume. 2022 added multi-asset reasoning and COT data: the crypto-winter Editor's Pick tied BTC to gold, oil and the dollar, and reading positioning through Commitment of Traders from the CME appeared. 2023 is the peak year and the shift from analyst to teacher: 28 publications in five weeks across June and July, effectively a structured course. 2025–2026 is macro maturity: Fed decisions, tariffs, geopolitics and cross-asset correlations like Nasdaq-Bitcoin and dollar-gold are integrated into single assessments.

The method running through every publication

Every idea stands on three pillars. The first is volume analysis by the Wyckoff method — reading institutional intent through the phases of accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown, looking for divergences between price and volume. The second is Smart Money concepts: tracking large participants through volume traces, liquidity and positioning data. The third is cross-market analysis: the DXY, gold, oil, indices and crypto as one macro picture. It was the multi-asset approach that produced the sharpest reads, including the crypto-winter thesis of 2022. The same material later became the basis of my books and course, but the open archive of ideas comes first.