Arapov.Trade

242 Ideas, 5 Years of Public Analysis, and Multiple Editor's Picks: The Complete TradingView Track Record of Igor Arapov

A comprehensive breakdown of every category of content published on TradingView — from market analysis to educational series — with full transparency.

In an industry where expertise is easy to claim and difficult to verify, a five-year public record of timestamped analysis is something different. Igor Arapov's TradingView profile — 242 published ideas spanning October 2021 through February 2026 — represents exactly that: a complete, uneditable, publicly accessible history of market analysis across seven asset classes, where the market itself serves as the ultimate fact-checker.

This document is a full accounting of that record. Not a curated highlight reel, not a marketing summary — a category-by-category breakdown of what was published, when, and why. The kind of transparency that lets anyone evaluate the work directly rather than taking a creator's word for it.


The Numbers

  • Total published ideas: 242
  • Time period: October 2021 – February 2026
  • 2021 (Oct–Dec): 51 ideas
  • 2022: 59 ideas
  • 2023: 74 ideas (peak year, including major educational series)
  • 2024: 6 ideas (period of systematizing theory and writing books)
  • 2025: 50 ideas
  • 2026 (Jan–Feb): 6 ideas
  • Followers: 348
  • Recognition: Multiple Editor's Pick awards from TradingView's editorial team

Category 1: Bitcoin Market Analysis (~150 Ideas)

Bitcoin represents the core of Arapov's TradingView work — approximately 150 ideas covering every phase of the market cycle from late 2021 through early 2026.

The Crypto Winter Series (2022) — Editor's Pick

The most consequential body of work in the profile is the 2022 Bitcoin sequence. Warning signs of bull market exhaustion were documented starting in late 2021. By May 2022, the publication "Биткоин: Крипто-зима надолго" (Bitcoin: Crypto Winter for a Long Time) earned an Editor's Pick from TradingView's editorial team — 4,746 views and 29 likes, substantial engagement for Russian-language content on an international platform.

What distinguished this call was the multi-asset framework: Bitcoin's decline was connected to gold price dynamics, U.S. dollar strength, and crude oil market signals in a single thesis. The argument — that dollar momentum would sustain pressure across all dollar-denominated risk assets — was confirmed by the crypto winter that followed.

Documented Bitcoin Analysis Timeline

Late 2021 (Oct–Dec): Early publications focused on reading institutional ("whale") intentions through volume analysis. The series "Market Review Bitcoin: Trying to Understand Whale Intentions" (parts 1–3), "Signs of Hidden Asset Accumulation," and daily level analysis established the core methodology: volume-based analysis of institutional behavior at key support and resistance levels.

2022 (Jan–Aug): The most analytically intense period. Bitcoin was tracked from the $46K support zone through its collapse to $18K, with near-daily publications during the most volatile stretches. Key publications:

  • "Биткоин будет стоить 1,300,000?" (Jan 28, 2022) — long-term analysis using market profile logic
  • "Биткоин: Анализ намерений Китов рынка" (May 14, 2022) — COT analysis of institutional participants
  • "Биткоин: Крипто-зима надолго" (May 12, 2022) — the Editor's Pick call
  • "Биткоин: обзор долгосрочных перспектив в районе 5к" (Jun 19, 2022) — bearish long-term scenario analysis
  • "Учимся использовать медвежий рынок Биткоина" (May 18, 2022) — educational content on futures trading during bear markets

2023 (Apr–Oct): Following consolidation analysis, an accumulation phase forming at the $26K–$30K level was identified. The publication "Биткоин по 45к — Первая цель!" (Jul 19, 2023) called the end of the re-accumulation phase using Wyckoff methodology with a $45K upside target — which the market subsequently reached.

2025–2026: Recent analysis covers the intersection of Bitcoin with Trump administration policies, Federal Reserve decisions, and broader macro conditions. Publications like "Bitcoin and Donald Trump, What to Expect?" and "Bitcoin: Why the $77,000 Level Is the Key to New Growth" reflect the evolution toward integrated macro-geopolitical analysis.


Category 2: Educational Video Series (~25+ Ideas)

This is where the TradingView profile distinguishes itself most clearly from the majority of content creators on the platform. Rather than scattered tips, a structured educational curriculum was published — a systematic progression from beginner to advanced concepts.

Foundational Trading Education

  • "Трейдинг и инвестиции, с чего начать новичку?" — complete introduction covering fundamental market principles
  • "С чего начинается трейдинг?" — personal history: the path into trading, learning process, results over 12 years
  • "Инструкция по обучению трейдингу с нуля" — structured learning roadmap with sequencing across educational playlists
  • "Технический анализ рынка — Введение" — introduction to technical analysis tools for complete beginners
  • "Криптовалюта для начинающих" — presentation-format introduction to cryptocurrency markets

Volume Analysis and Wyckoff Method Series

The core educational content — a complete course on the Wyckoff Method and volume analysis published as a sequential series:

  • "Объемный анализ рынка. Введение" (Jun 22, 2023) — volume analysis methodology: origins, goals, and the edge it provides retail traders
  • "Объемный анализ. Фазы рынка: Накопление/Распределение актива" (Jun 23, 2023) — accumulation and distribution phases: identification, location, and application
  • "Анатомия трендов на рынке по Вайкоффу" (Jun 30, 2023) — Wyckoff's market phases, Steidlmayer's "zone of value" from Market Profile, order type interactions
  • "Манипуляции рынком по Вайкоффу — Встряска" (Jul 1, 2023) — the "shakeout" pattern: Smart Money objectives and how to use this knowledge profitably
  • "Торговая система по Вайкоффу" (Jun 28, 2023) — series culmination: practical application, key signals, complete trading system construction
  • "Фундаментальный анализ рынка Вайкофф" (Jul 4, 2023) — why pure fundamental analysis falls short, through Wyckoff's own writings
  • "Методология объемного анализа" (Mar 26, 2025) — live application of volume analysis methodology to GBP/USD

Price Action and Technical Patterns

  • "Как использовать Пин Бар? Мощный паттерн разворота рынка" (Jun 18, 2023) — pin bar pattern combined with levels and volume analysis (807 views)
  • "Price Action: как определять точку входа" (Jun 21, 2023) — live entry and exit point determination using Price Action
  • "Учимся строить наклонные трендовые каналы" (Jul 2, 2023) — trend channel construction and its relationship to Wyckoff logic
  • "Логика разных ТФ на уровнях — Матрёшка в Матрёшке" (Dec 28, 2021) — multi-timeframe level analysis model

Risk Management and Trading Psychology

  • "Психология трейдинга. Как не потерять свой депозит?" (Jun 26, 2023) — trading psychology through real Bitcoin liquidation examples: stop-loss discipline, drawdown dangers, rational decision-making
  • "Грамотное управление капиталом в трейдинге — это основа" (Jun 27, 2023) — position sizing and capital management as the foundation of consistent profitability
  • "Не отдавай свой Стоп Лосс банкирам. Ставь Стопы правильно!" (Jun 24, 2023) — practical stop-loss placement rules that avoid market manipulation traps
  • "Про просадки в трейдинге: что нужно избегать" (Jul 25, 2023) — how drawdowns occur and what traders must never do
  • "Выбираем депозит для трейдинга" (Jul 3, 2023) — correct starting account size, profitable trader mathematics, risk control methods

Trading Systems and Practical Application

  • "Простая торговая система для новичка" (Jun 11, 2023) — complete system based on volume divergence, auction process logic, minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk
  • "Основы прибыльного трейдинга и тебя ждет успех" (Jun 13, 2023) — core profitable trading rules with real account statistics over one year, Larry Williams' money management approach
  • "Основные ошибки большинства новичков" (Jun 14, 2023) — common beginner mistakes, what to do when progress stalls
  • "Трейдинг VS инвестиции" (Jul 23, 2023) — trading vs. investing: similarities, differences, strengths of each

Market Structure and Order Flow

  • "Что такое уровни? Зачем нужны и как использовать" (Jun 12, 2023) — complete guide to support/resistance levels, institutional interest in liquidity, manipulation techniques, risk/reward (9 likes — highest engagement)
  • "Ценообразование и Ликвидность: что это и как использовать?" (Jun 17, 2023) — price formation as supply/demand, liquidity at levels, Smart Money manipulation
  • "Виды и типы ордеров на бирже" (Jun 20, 2023) — market microstructure: how different order types participate in price formation
  • "Преимущества и недостатки индикаторов" (Jun 19, 2023) — discretionary vs. analytical approaches to price forecasting
  • "Биржа как основа капитализма, торговая модель уровней" (Dec 18, 2021) — logical foundation for why levels work
  • "Биткоин — Время покупать?! Объемный анализ рынка" (Apr 12, 2025) — applied Wyckoff analysis: weak hands vs. strong hands, retail liquidations at bottoms, systematic trading

Q&A and Community Interaction

  • "Ответы на вопросы подписчиков" (Apr 29, 2025) — comprehensive Q&A: free vs. paid education, using market reviews, day trading rationale, levels, risk management with timestamps
  • "Сколько я прочитал книг по трейдингу?" (Jun 29, 2023) — book review from 10 years of reading: what helped, what books don't teach

Category 3: Gold Market Analysis (~15 Ideas)

Gold appears throughout the portfolio both as a standalone analytical subject and as a macro indicator for broader market conditions:

  • "Прогноз рынка золота после ликвидаций маржинальных трейдеров" — volume analysis of $2,300 support after sharp declines, futures liquidation assessment
  • "Прогноз рынка золота — объемный анализ рынка" — dual analysis comparing Japanese Yen and Gold on key support levels
  • "Доллар и Золото, кто победит?" — comparative analysis following Fed decisions, DXY vs. gold dynamics, Iran-US geopolitical tensions
  • "Золото признаки восстановления — новый виток роста!" — seller weakness through declining volumes at $3,300 support
  • "Ракета на рынке золота" (Dec 2023) — pre-Santa Rally gold analysis
  • "Золото и доллар обзор" — gold vs. dollar as competing stores of value during crisis periods
  • Multiple technical sessions: support/resistance identification, potential scenarios through volume analysis

Category 4: U.S. Dollar Index and Forex (~25 Ideas)

Forex analysis covers the DXY and major currency pairs, consistently applying volume analysis and institutional positioning data:

Dollar Index Analysis:

  • "Перспективы Доллара после заседания ФРС" — post-Fed technical analysis with EUR, GBP, and broader market impact assessment
  • "Как сильно обвалится доллар?" — global currency trends, dollar devaluation fundamentals, protection strategies during loose monetary policy
  • "Д. Трамп и пошлины — Технический анализ Доллара" — dollar prospects following Trump tariff announcements
  • "Перспектива Доллара и долг США" (Jun 2023) — medium-term dollar fundamentals, Fed money printing scenarios ahead of presidential elections

Currency Pair Analysis:

  • EUR/USD: false breakout identification, bullish factor assessment
  • GBP/USD: institutional positioning, trend identification through Wyckoff and Price Action
  • USD/CHF: "compression" technical patterns at resistance levels
  • USD/CAD: global timeframe analysis, trend reversal identification
  • USD/JPY: support zone analysis with volume-based supply/demand evaluation

Category 5: Stock Indices — Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow Jones (~15 Ideas)

Index analysis serves dual purposes: standalone opportunities and Bitcoin correlation analysis:

  • "Индекс Насдак — начало медвежьего тренда?!" — first declining maximum on Nasdaq, key resistance at 21,500, direct Bitcoin implications given near-absolute correlation
  • "Индекс Насдак — Признаки восстановления" — rising minimums and recovery patterns
  • "НАСДАК ведёт Биткоин" (May 2022) — the key analytical framework: Nasdaq leads crypto markets
  • "Когда Биткоин спит — переходим на ДОУ" — cross-market analysis: Dow Jones volume patterns for predicting potential reversals
  • Multiple pre- and post-Fed index analyses connecting monetary policy decisions to market movements

Category 6: Crude Oil Analysis — Editor's Pick

Crude oil analysis earned an Editor's Pick from TradingView's editorial team, demonstrating the application of COT data from CME Group to commodity markets:

  • "Чего ожидать от цен на нефть?" (Jan 27, 2022) — Editor's Pick. Analysis through hedger positions from CME Group: how institutional data reveals price direction before it becomes chart-visible
  • "Обзор рынка нефти" (Feb 9, 2022) — Price Action methodology applied to crude oil
  • Oil analysis integrated into macro reviews connecting dollar strength, geopolitics, and energy markets

Category 7: Altcoin Analysis (~15 Ideas)

Beyond Bitcoin, specific altcoins are analyzed through the same volume analysis framework:

  • "Эфир — Начало бычьего тренда" (Jul 2025) — first rising minimum as technical uptrend signal, fundamental factors including Trump dollar devaluation policy
  • "Эфир первая цель в район 900$" (Jun 2023) — bearish analysis: no Smart Money demand at $2,000 resistance, $900 target
  • "Ripple — будет ракета?" — "rising minimums" pattern with local upside targets
  • "Криптовалюта искусственного интеллекта Graph" — AI-sector crypto through supply/demand logic
  • "SHIB — как классическая игра на деньги" — educational analysis of pump-and-dump mechanics
  • "Крипто пирамида — Доги" — DogeCoin: Musk influence, Smart Money interest assessment
  • "Монетка ПеПе" — PEPE with scam risk warning alongside technical bottom-fishing levels
  • Polkadot, Clover, Chainlink, Tron — support level identification for medium-term positions

Category 8: Multi-Asset Macro Reviews (~20 Ideas)

Regular comprehensive market reviews connecting multiple asset classes:

  • "Обзор рынков после ФРС" — post-Fed analysis: Bitcoin, Gold, DXY, EUR, GBP, Nasdaq, S&P 500 in a single session
  • "Перед заседанием ФРС — обзор ключевых уровней" — pre-event risk assessment across S&P 500, Nasdaq, Bitcoin, DXY, and Gold with risk management recommendations
  • "Обвал рубля — как спасти капитал?" — trading as a hedging tool during currency crises
  • Weekly market reviews (2023 series) — systematic Sunday/Monday reviews of all key markets with Wyckoff methodology

Evolution of Analytical Approach: From Volume Trader to Macro Analyst

Reviewing 242 publications chronologically reveals a clear evolution in analytical depth and scope — genuine professional development made visible through public timestamped work.

2021 — Pure volume analysis on a single asset. Early publications were tightly focused: Bitcoin price action analyzed through volume at specific support and resistance levels. Single instrument, single timeframe, single methodology.

2022 — Multi-asset reasoning and COT data. The analytical framework expanded dramatically. The crypto winter Editor's Pick connected BTC with gold, crude oil, and the U.S. dollar in a single thesis. CME Group Commitment of Traders data was integrated for reading institutional positioning across futures markets.

2023 — Structured educational curriculum and Wyckoff systematization. The peak year marked a shift from analyst to educator. The June–July 2023 educational sprint — 28 publications in 5 weeks — produced a structured curriculum that didn't exist at this depth in the Russian-language TradingView space.

2025–2026 — Geopolitical and monetary policy integration. Full macro-analytical maturity. Federal Reserve decisions, Trump administration tariffs and dollar policy, Iran-US geopolitical tensions, cross-asset correlations (Nasdaq-Bitcoin, Dollar-Gold) — all integrated into unified market assessments. This trajectory, from single-asset volume analyst to multi-asset macro educator, is not something that can be fabricated. It's visible in every publication, timestamped and public.


The Methodology Running Through Every Publication

Every one of the 242 ideas applies a consistent analytical framework built on three pillars:

Wyckoff Method and Volume Analysis: Not rigid schematics, but reading institutional intent through accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown phases as they unfold in real time. Divergences between price movement and volume are consistently sought to identify institutional behavior before it becomes visible on the price chart alone.

Smart Money Concepts: Tracking institutional participants through volume footprints, liquidity analysis, and positioning data — smart money, whales, large participants, hedgers.

Cross-Market Correlation Analysis: Connecting dollar index, gold, crude oil, stock indices, and crypto into a unified macro picture. This multi-asset approach produced the most accurate calls, including the 2022 crypto winter thesis that earned the Editor's Pick.


From 242 Public Ideas to Published Books

In 2021, individual market analyses were being shared — timestamped calls on Bitcoin levels. By 2023, the content had evolved into a structured educational curriculum. By 2025, it had matured into multi-asset macro frameworks integrating Federal Reserve policy, geopolitics, and cross-market correlations.

At some point, the volume of educational material created — across TradingView, YouTube, and arapov.trade — reached critical mass. Hundreds of video analyses, 151 articles across three languages, a complete Wyckoff Method course published publicly on TradingView. The question was no longer whether there was enough material for a book. The question was why no book had been written yet.

The books — published with official ISBN numbers through Bowker USA — are not created from nothing. They are the distillation of everything documented here: thousands of hours of public market analysis, a structured educational methodology tested on real students, and a consistent analytical framework refined across 242 published ideas over five years.

"Основы трейдинга" (Trading Fundamentals) grew from the foundational TradingView series of June–July 2023: levels, Price Action, market structure, order flow. "Психология трейдинга" (Trading Psychology) emerged from years of publications where psychology was decisive — the Bitcoin liquidation cascades of 2022, weak-hands-vs.-strong-holders dynamics, drawdown management, stop-loss discipline through real market examples. "Основы трейдинга Том 2" (Trading Fundamentals Volume 2) represents the advanced methodology: Wyckoff, Smart Money, volume analysis.

The books didn't start the educational journey — they formalized it. Today they carry official ISBN registration, are indexed in international bibliographic systems (ISNI: 0000 0005 2951 8564, ORCID: 0009-0003-0430-778X), verified through Wikidata (Q137454477), and the trading psychology book is held in the collection of Ukraine's Vernadsky National Library. The real foundation beneath all of that is the 242 ideas on TradingView — each one a public, dated, verifiable proof of the expertise that went into every page.


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